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Red469
5404161.1
25211.2
103154.7
Blue189
102137.9
316187.7
4342175.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388331100200500600700469189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
211.21.3
206.6207.9
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
red by 23.4
316
#30
187.70.4
188.3188.6
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
161.11.2
163.8162.6
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
blue by 14.5
4342
#24
175.60.3
176.4176.7
Auto26.7
Teleop119.5
End30.4
Third
103
#39
154.70.7
152.8153.5
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
red by 16.8
102
#36
137.91.1
137.0138.1
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed