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Red420
1989143.5
316187.7
75153.8
Blue288
2180140.4
1676161.6
293141.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358309100200400500600420288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#30
187.70.8
188.6187.8
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
red by 26.1
1676
#14
161.61.4
158.2159.6
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
Second
75
#19
153.80.9
152.9153.8
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
red by 12.1
293
#56
141.70.8
142.5141.7
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Third
1989
#43
143.51.0
144.4143.5
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End19.8
red by 3.0
2180
#22
140.40.2
140.3140.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed