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Red266
6203139.2
5404161.1
1168113.0
Blue347
2729142.4
41139.7
3142137.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318340150200250400450500266347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.11.0
162.6161.6
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
red by 18.7
2729
#11
142.40.4
142.7142.3
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
Second
6203
#59
139.20.3
138.8139.2
Auto15.3
Teleop103.8
End20.3
blue by 0.5
41
#25
139.71.2
138.5139.7
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
Third
1168
#53
113.00.8
113.8113.0
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
blue by 24.5
3142
#12
137.50.5
138.0137.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned