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Red299
272156.7
102137.9
1676161.6
Blue335
219144.4
747159.1
2495126.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317345200250300400450500550299335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#14
161.60.4
151.7151.2
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
red by 2.5
747
#18
159.10.1
160.2160.3
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
Second
272
#40
156.70.6
155.5154.8
Auto20.7
Teleop103.9
End29.6
red by 12.3
219
#27
144.40.2
142.3142.5
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
Third
102
#36
137.91.2
130.1128.9
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
red by 11.5
2495
#37
126.41.0
122.5123.5
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed