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Red350
102137.9
303196.9
2729142.4
Blue313
3314180.9
1403132.5
1640191.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298385100200500350313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#10
196.91.0
201.9200.9
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
red by 5.5
1640
#20
191.40.5
191.3190.8
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
Second
2729
#11
142.40.8
146.9146.1
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
blue by 38.5
180.90.7
181.2180.5
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
Third
102
#36
137.90.9
128.9128.1
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
red by 5.4
1403
#58
132.50.1
134.4134.2
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsMissed