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Red332
223165.3
1143129.1
3314180.9
Blue387
321142.4
1676161.6
2607163.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373320100200400500600332387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.90.6
179.5178.9
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
red by 17.5
2607
#28
163.42.0
167.9165.9
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
Second
223
#52
165.31.0
168.4167.4
Auto18.3
Teleop119.5
End26.3
red by 3.7
1676
#14
161.60.2
151.1151.4
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
Third
1143
#41
129.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto18.5
Teleop97.5
End14.1
blue by 13.3
321
#35
142.40.2
134.3134.5
Auto17.1
Teleop103.2
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
46%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed