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Red468
222177.8
293141.7
25211.2
Blue207
2729142.4
834181.9
6860107.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242620100200300500600700468207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
211.20.5
201.7202.2
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
red by 29.2
834
#49
181.90.4
181.3180.9
Auto20.6
Teleop136.8
End25.6
Second
222
#38
177.81.0
184.1183.1
Auto23.8
Teleop132.0
End22.6
red by 35.4
2729
#11
142.40.2
146.1146.3
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
Third
293
#56
141.71.5
146.4144.9
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
red by 34.7
6860
#33
107.11.5
100.9102.4
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed