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Red262
1168113.0
433158.3
5407166.5
Blue337
3314180.9
3637165.8
303196.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255446100200300400500600700262337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#29
166.51.1
167.2166.1
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
blue by 30.4
303
#10
196.90.2
200.8200.6
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
Second
433
#47
158.30.3
156.9157.2
Auto20.3
Teleop114.9
End20.9
blue by 22.6
180.90.2
178.9178.8
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
Third
1168
#53
113.01.4
111.7113.1
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
blue by 52.7
3637
#31
165.80.7
163.2163.9
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed66%Face the Boss oddsMissed