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Red433
1676161.6
365196.9
1989143.5
Blue213
5404161.1
3142137.5
708165.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389336100200300500600433213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#6
196.91.5
188.3189.8
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
red by 31.4
708
#26
165.51.5
169.2167.7
Auto20.2
Teleop122.7
End22.0
Second
1676
#14
161.60.9
151.4152.2
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
red by 0.5
161.10.7
165.6166.3
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
Third
1989
#43
143.50.1
149.1149.0
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End19.8
red by 6.0
3142
#12
137.50.8
138.4139.2
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed