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Red428
1923185.1
3637165.8
102137.9
Blue298
6203139.2
5420161.1
272156.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386313100200500600428298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
185.11.3
187.9186.6
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
red by 24.0
5420
#46
161.10.0
156.6156.6
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
Second
3637
#31
165.80.0
163.9164.0
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
red by 9.1
272
#40
156.70.3
155.0155.3
Auto20.7
Teleop103.9
End29.6
Third
102
#36
137.91.5
130.1131.6
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
blue by 1.3
6203
#59
139.20.3
139.4139.7
Auto15.3
Teleop103.8
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed