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Red328
5404161.1
4361155.1
1257146.7
Blue261
6860107.1
5895169.1
3314180.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340325100200400500600700328261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.10.6
166.3165.7
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
blue by 19.8
180.90.7
178.8178.1
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
Second
4361
#16
155.11.2
152.2153.3
Auto19.5
Teleop119.7
End16.2
blue by 14.0
5895
#17
169.11.3
163.3164.6
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
Third
1257
#54
146.70.1
150.2150.3
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
red by 39.6
6860
#33
107.11.0
102.4103.4
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed