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Red260
75153.8
3314180.9
6203139.2
Blue342
1807151.1
1391171.8
4653164.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375350200300400500600260342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.90.4
181.4181.8
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
red by 9.2
171.81.3
157.3158.6
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
Second
75
#19
153.80.5
151.9151.4
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
blue by 10.8
4653
#44
164.60.5
159.9160.5
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
Third
6203
#59
139.22.0
136.4138.4
Auto15.3
Teleop103.8
End20.3
blue by 11.9
1807
#42
151.10.2
153.4153.6
Auto18.6
Teleop114.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed