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Red331
1923185.1
3142137.5
1403132.5
Blue407
11128.1
41139.7
225222.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063680100200400500600331407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
185.10.4
186.6186.2
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
blue by 37.0
225
#9
222.11.2
229.3228.0
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
Second
3142
#12
137.50.3
138.7138.4
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
blue by 2.2
41
#25
139.70.8
135.0135.9
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
Third
1403
#58
132.50.2
133.4133.2
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
red by 4.4
11
#51
128.11.3
130.4129.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed