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Red341
1257146.7
223165.3
4653164.6
Blue426
303196.9
203142.7
219144.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33036602006008001,0001,200341426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#52
165.30.5
166.8166.2
Auto18.3
Teleop119.5
End26.3
blue by 31.6
303
#10
196.91.6
199.9198.4
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
Second
4653
#44
164.61.0
164.7165.8
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
red by 20.2
219
#27
144.40.6
143.1142.5
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
Third
1257
#54
146.70.2
150.3150.1
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
red by 4.0
203
#57
142.70.7
144.1143.4
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned