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Red256
2607163.4
1640191.4
1089154.0
Blue427
5895169.1
75153.8
5404161.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382321100200500600256427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#20
191.40.7
189.5190.3
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
red by 22.4
5895
#17
169.10.7
165.2165.9
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
Second
2607
#28
163.40.3
163.4163.7
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
red by 2.3
161.10.8
165.0164.1
Auto20.8
Teleop114.0
End24.0
Third
1089
#45
154.00.9
150.9151.8
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
red by 0.1
75
#19
153.81.3
149.3150.6
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed