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Red428
6860107.1
223165.3
2590244.6
Blue296
316187.7
5407166.5
1403132.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366355200300400500600428296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.3
242.1242.4
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 56.9
316
#30
187.70.6
187.5188.0
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
223
#52
165.30.6
166.2165.7
Auto18.3
Teleop119.5
End26.3
blue by 1.1
5407
#29
166.50.1
165.9166.0
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
Third
6860
#33
107.10.9
103.9104.8
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.0
blue by 25.4
1403
#58
132.50.1
133.2133.0
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed