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Red372
708165.5
2607163.4
1218181.8
Blue220
219144.4
1403132.5
5401126.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445249200300400500600700372220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#13
181.81.2
181.5182.7
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
red by 37.4
219
#27
144.40.4
141.9142.3
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
Second
708
#26
165.51.6
174.7173.1
Auto20.2
Teleop122.7
End22.0
red by 33.0
1403
#58
132.50.3
134.0134.3
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
Third
2607
#28
163.40.1
168.8168.9
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
red by 37.2
5401
#60
126.20.3
135.1135.4
Auto16.4
Teleop98.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed