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Red258
1421173.0
3039138.0
4087161.1
Blue286
2992177.7
456167.2
6489109.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642990100200400500600700800258286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.00.0
173.0173.0
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
blue by 4.7
2992
#11
177.70.0
177.7177.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
Second
4087
#16
161.10.0
161.1161.1
Auto20.4
Teleop120.7
End20.3
blue by 6.1
456
#5
167.20.0
167.2167.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
138.00.0
138.0138.0
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End14.3
red by 28.3
109.70.0
109.7109.7
Auto14.5
Teleop87.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds72%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds