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Red258
2183134.8
3753139.7
2992177.7
Blue224
2992B88.8
3946100.8
5997147.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742290100300500600700800258224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#11
177.70.0
177.7177.7
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
red by 30.2
5997
#14
147.50.0
147.5147.5
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
Second
139.70.0
139.7139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
red by 38.9
100.80.0
100.8100.8
Auto14.2
Teleop83.5
End3.4
Third
134.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto14.8
Teleop103.7
End17.3
red by 45.9
88.80.0
88.888.8
Auto9.2
Teleop67.3
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds