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Red203
456167.2
7094102.1
3039B69.0
Blue333
1927114.7
1421173.0
2183134.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543470200400600800203333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
167.20.0
167.2167.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
blue by 5.8
173.00.0
173.0173.0
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Second
7094
#12
102.10.0
102.1102.1
Auto14.3
Teleop78.9
End8.4
blue by 32.6
134.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto14.8
Teleop103.7
End17.3
Third
69.00.0
69.069.0
Auto9.6
Teleop53.4
End7.2
blue by 45.8
1927
#15
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds