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Red354
1323237.1
254250.3
7663126.2
Blue314
1678237.7
971198.9
299132.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223200200600800354314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
250.30.1
250.3250.3
Auto27.5
Teleop182.5
End39.2
red by 12.6
237.70.1
237.8237.7
Auto24.8
Teleop176.1
End34.7
Second
237.10.3
236.9237.1
Auto25.8
Teleop178.9
End33.2
red by 38.2
971
#4
198.90.0
199.0198.9
Auto23.6
Teleop149.2
End24.6
Third
7663
#31
126.20.1
126.3126.2
Auto18.6
Teleop97.9
End7.8
blue by 6.4
299
#22
132.70.3
132.4132.7
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End16.0