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Red288
971B163.2
5817B116.4
5104146.5
Blue473
254B147.0
1671155.4
4171117.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222940100200400500600288473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#3Sur
163.26.4
119.7126.1
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
red by 7.8
155.40.1
152.5152.7
Auto24.3
Teleop113.9
End15.1
Second
5104
#13
146.51.4
144.4145.7
Auto18.3
Teleop110.3
End20.9
blue by 0.5
254B
#33
147.02.5
140.3142.8
Auto17.7
Teleop116.6
End9.3
Third
116.46.8
105.0111.8
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End12.0
blue by 0.8
4171
#27
117.20.7
112.7112.0
Auto16.6
Teleop87.1
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed