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Red221
1323B153.2
1671155.4
6926B94.0
Blue382
3303116.5
4255107.6
971B163.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492250100300400500600700221382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.41.2
152.7153.9
Auto24.3
Teleop113.9
End15.1
blue by 7.8
163.23.8
126.1129.9
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
Second
153.28.5
139.6148.1
Auto18.9
Teleop121.8
End11.0
red by 36.7
3303
#38
116.51.0
120.1119.2
Auto16.8
Teleop93.6
End5.1
Third
94.00.8
92.993.8
Auto15.0
Teleop73.0
End4.2
blue by 13.6
4255
#26
107.61.4
105.0103.6
Auto16.1
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed