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Qual 252018 MadTown Throwdown
Red152
3482138.4
3482B88.3
6657B97.6
Blue357
3495B111.3
4171117.2
3495136.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27631005001,0001,5002,000152357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#14
138.40.1
139.1→139.2
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
red by 1.9
3495
#21
136.51.5
143.1→141.7
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
Second
6657B
#39
97.65.4
86.8→92.1
Auto14.1
Teleop77.7
End3.9
blue by 19.6
4171
#27
117.20.5
112.0→112.5
Auto16.6
Teleop87.1
End13.4
Third
3482B
#43
88.31.4
93.7→92.3
Auto11.2
Teleop76.0
End1.3
blue by 23.0
3495B
#40
111.34.7
96.8→101.4
Auto12.4
Teleop89.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed