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Red227
6926B94.0
973195.9
254C131.2
Blue304
971198.9
6305110.8
5817B116.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943270100200400500600700800227304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
195.90.4
191.0191.4
Auto25.1
Teleop139.4
End30.8
blue by 3.0
971
#4
198.90.5
200.0200.5
Auto23.6
Teleop149.2
End24.6
Second
254C
#41
131.23.6
148.2144.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.3
End15.7
red by 14.8
116.41.7
116.0117.7
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End12.0
Third
94.01.0
93.892.8
Auto15.0
Teleop73.0
End4.2
blue by 16.8
6305
#24
110.80.4
114.2113.7
Auto18.9
Teleop87.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed