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Red189
1678C140.6
4255107.6
2135B118.9
Blue397
971B163.2
2073149.0
973195.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1994270100300500600700800189397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.63.8
147.0143.2
Auto16.3
Teleop109.5
End13.1
blue by 55.3
973
#5
195.90.9
191.5192.3
Auto25.1
Teleop139.4
End30.8
Second
118.92.4
111.2113.6
Auto20.0
Teleop86.8
End11.6
blue by 44.3
163.27.2
140.1147.3
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
Third
4255
#26
107.61.0
103.8104.8
Auto16.1
Teleop84.8
End9.7
blue by 41.4
2073
#20
149.00.2
146.6146.8
Auto21.6
Teleop109.7
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed