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Red322
973195.9
6657118.5
4255107.6
Blue206
5852B100.7
3495136.5
973B141.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372760200400600800322206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
195.90.8
192.3193.1
Auto25.1
Teleop139.4
End30.8
red by 54.8
973B
#32
141.12.9
134.2137.1
Auto18.6
Teleop106.4
End16.5
Second
6657
#12
118.50.6
119.3118.7
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End11.6
blue by 18.0
3495
#21
136.51.4
139.0137.6
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
Third
4255
#26
107.60.9
104.8105.7
Auto16.1
Teleop84.8
End9.7
red by 6.9
100.74.2
93.397.5
Auto11.0
Teleop77.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed