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Qual 652018 MadTown Throwdown
Red261
971C126.1
6305110.8
971B163.2
Blue308
3303116.5
3495136.5
299132.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202640100200400500600700261308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#3
163.23.4
156.1→159.5
Auto22.6
Teleop119.2
End22.5
red by 26.7
3495
#21
136.50.9
137.6→136.7
Auto18.0
Teleop101.5
End14.3
Second
971C
#34
126.13.0
129.0→126.1
Auto13.4
Teleop103.3
End6.1
blue by 6.6
299
#22
132.70.7
130.3→131.1
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End16.0
Third
6305
#24
110.80.2
111.0→110.8
Auto18.9
Teleop87.7
End5.9
blue by 5.7
3303
#38
116.50.1
115.7→115.6
Auto16.8
Teleop93.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed