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Red342
4121133.7
9985108.9
5811137.3
Blue211
9986108.9
7165128.4
3193115.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882600100200400500342211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.31.6
139.2137.6
Auto15.0
Teleop105.7
End14.1
red by 8.9
128.40.9
129.5128.6
Auto16.5
Teleop97.5
End17.4
Second
133.70.0
133.2133.2
Auto16.9
Teleop96.9
End16.6
red by 18.4
3193
#16
115.21.6
119.0117.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.3
Third
9985
#12
108.91.0
110.8109.8
Auto15.3
Teleop82.5
End8.5
red by 0.1
108.91.2
106.0107.1
Auto14.4
Teleop87.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed