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Red245
4780122.1
3193115.2
4467130.8
Blue291
2010113.1
454798.0
1787111.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482270100300400500600700245291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#11DQ
130.80.5
130.2130.7
Auto18.5
Teleop98.8
End12.8
red by 17.7
113.10.9
114.6113.7
Auto17.7
Teleop84.8
End9.5
Second
122.10.4
121.7122.0
Auto18.4
Teleop83.8
End19.5
red by 10.4
1787
#17
111.62.9
116.6113.8
Auto19.1
Teleop78.6
End9.8
Third
3193
#16
115.21.0
117.4116.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.3
red by 17.2
4547
#13
98.01.5
100.599.0
Auto11.5
Teleop74.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed