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Red422
7165128.4
2010113.1
4027162.1
Blue213
3193115.2
4269103.0
379188.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306300200250350400422213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.10.2
161.9162.1
Auto25.4
Teleop122.6
End15.3
blue by 26.0
379
#10
188.10.6
188.7188.1
Auto22.4
Teleop141.2
End21.8
Second
128.40.3
128.1128.4
Auto16.5
Teleop97.5
End17.4
red by 13.1
3193
#16
115.21.2
116.4115.2
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.3
Third
113.10.6
113.7113.1
Auto17.7
Teleop84.8
End9.5
red by 10.1
4269
#15
103.00.5
102.5103.0
Auto12.8
Teleop81.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed