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Red330
3526152.6
3478195.7
5716126.7
Blue134
3472119.0
3933134.7
3510102.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4001920100300500600700330134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.70.9
194.8195.7
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
red by 61.0
134.70.6
134.1134.7
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
Second
152.60.5
152.1152.6
Auto18.7
Teleop115.4
End18.1
red by 33.6
119.00.4
118.6119.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End8.3
Third
5716
#22
126.70.4
126.3126.7
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
red by 24.2
3510
#16
102.50.4
102.1102.5
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5