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Qual 142018 Monterrey Regional
Red165
4635134.7
5887110.9
4401114.1
Blue240
3354134.0
696595.4
3933134.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942390100200400500600700165240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#15
134.76.5
112.2→118.7
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
blue by 0.1
3933
#7
134.75.6
106.5→112.1
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
Second
4401
#17
114.12.1
109.5→111.6
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
blue by 19.9
3354
#4
134.05.0
106.3→111.4
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End12.7
Third
5887
#38
110.96.5
105.7→112.2
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
red by 15.5
6965
#45
95.40.6
92.2→92.8
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed