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Qual 162018 Monterrey Regional
Red235
4731119.3
6218100.6
6348113.4
Blue207
5874101.3
3794108.1
352791.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982100100400500600700235207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4731
#11
119.36.4
102.2→108.6
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
red by 11.2
3794
#24
108.12.2
102.0→104.2
Auto11.2
Teleop90.0
End6.6
Second
6348
#9
113.43.8
107.6→111.4
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
red by 12.1
5874
#36
101.30.5
96.6→96.2
Auto11.1
Teleop89.2
End3.4
Third
6218
#41
100.65.2
96.2→101.4
Auto13.8
Teleop80.0
End3.3
red by 9.0
3527
#42
91.60.3
101.1→100.7
Auto12.8
Teleop74.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed