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Red207
4010127.3
6483123.1
6407102.5
Blue324
4401114.1
5948141.5
3354134.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237281100200400207324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#19
127.32.7
115.9118.6
Auto15.3
Teleop98.8
End13.4
blue by 14.3
141.54.9
118.8123.7
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
6483
#14
123.13.4
109.0112.4
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
blue by 10.9
134.03.8
115.0118.8
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End12.7
Third
6407
#43
102.51.0
99.998.8
Auto10.7
Teleop81.9
End10.8
blue by 11.5
4401
#17
114.10.8
111.6110.8
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed