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Red144
3933134.7
4731119.3
631996.2
Blue173
6348113.4
3510102.5
667686.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842050100400500600144173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.74.0
112.1116.1
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
red by 21.3
113.41.8
111.4113.2
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
Second
4731
#11
119.33.7
112.2115.9
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
red by 16.8
3510
#16
102.50.1
103.9104.1
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
Third
6319
#46
96.22.2
96.598.7
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
red by 9.9
6676
#47
86.30.5
86.586.9
Auto11.4
Teleop70.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed