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Red221
3933134.7
4746114.3
4635134.7
Blue238
6200128.4
7102109.4
5948141.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892470100200400500600221238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.72.6
116.7119.2
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
blue by 6.8
141.52.8
128.2131.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
4635
#15
134.72.2
127.1129.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
red by 6.3
6200
#39
128.41.6
118.2119.8
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
Third
4746
#29
114.33.2
103.7106.9
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End12.5
red by 4.9
7102
#30
109.41.9
102.0103.9
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed