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Red366
3478195.7
5948141.5
4010127.3
Blue143
6647133.7
6666101.4
667686.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30826702004006008001,0001,2001,400366143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.711.3
113.8125.1
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
red by 62.0
6647
#21
133.712.0
105.1117.1
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
Second
141.517.6
60.377.9
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
red by 40.1
6666
#35
101.415.7
77.292.9
Auto12.6
Teleop81.9
End3.8
Third
4010
#19
127.315.5
78.994.5
Auto15.3
Teleop98.8
End13.4
red by 41.0
6676
#47
86.312.3
65.777.9
Auto11.4
Teleop70.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed