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Qual 322018 Monterrey Regional
Red196
4731119.3
4775141.4
615694.2
Blue176
696595.4
3522130.9
4782114.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23226550100150200300350400450196176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#10
141.44.6
125.6→130.2
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
red by 10.6
3522
#6
130.93.4
124.8→128.2
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
Second
4731
#11
119.30.3
115.9→116.2
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
red by 5.0
4782
#23
114.30.0
116.1→116.1
Auto10.8
Teleop94.1
End7.9
Third
6156
#32
94.20.4
91.0→91.5
Auto9.1
Teleop77.5
End11.3
blue by 1.2
6965
#45
95.40.6
97.7→97.1
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed