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Red50
4746114.3
5932103.9
534492.9
Blue186
6348113.4
3158116.6
4635134.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221315010040050060050186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4746
#29
114.317.9
57.675.5
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End12.5
blue by 20.4
4635
#15
134.711.3
94.3105.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
Second
5932
#28
103.911.2
76.087.2
Auto13.6
Teleop78.3
End14.5
blue by 12.7
3158
#40
116.68.8
104.2113.0
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
Third
5344
#48
92.918.4
53.471.8
Auto13.5
Teleop73.4
End5.7
blue by 20.6
113.49.1
89.999.0
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed