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Qual 502018 Monterrey Regional
Red189
3510102.5
601099.8
6017100.2
Blue280
3522130.9
7102109.4
5887110.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249260150200300350189280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3510
#16
102.55.0
95.9→100.9
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
blue by 28.4
3522
#6
130.95.0
111.0→116.0
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
Second
6017
#33
100.22.1
107.6→109.7
Auto11.8
Teleop77.8
End8.1
blue by 10.7
5887
#38
110.96.3
99.4→105.7
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
Third
6010
#34
99.810.5
83.1→93.6
Auto11.6
Teleop81.0
End8.4
blue by 9.6
7102
#30
109.43.4
93.6→97.0
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed