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Red187
4401114.1
696595.4
7102109.4
Blue315
4746114.3
5948141.5
667686.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233268100200300400500187315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#17
114.10.4
113.5113.1
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
blue by 27.5
141.53.1
131.0134.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
7102
#30
109.42.4
106.6109.0
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
blue by 4.9
4746
#29
114.31.9
108.9110.7
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End12.5
Third
6965
#45
95.40.7
97.196.4
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
red by 9.0
6676
#47
86.30.7
85.785.0
Auto11.4
Teleop70.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed