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Red141
4731119.3
3522130.9
5932103.9
Blue273
4584123.8
6507110.9
3478195.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043510100300400500600141273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.91.8
128.2130.0
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
blue by 64.9
195.75.3
176.9182.3
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
Second
4731
#11
119.30.4
116.2116.6
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
blue by 4.5
4584
#12
123.81.1
120.5121.6
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
Third
5932
#28
103.91.5
100.9102.4
Auto13.6
Teleop78.3
End14.5
blue by 7.0
6507
#26
110.91.9
108.4110.3
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed