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Red327
5716126.7
4401114.1
682095.3
Blue157
6200128.4
5874101.3
631996.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692440100200300400500327157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#22
126.78.4
94.6103.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
blue by 1.7
6200
#39
128.410.1
88.298.3
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
Second
4401
#17
114.16.7
96.8103.5
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
red by 12.7
5874
#36
101.39.9
79.689.5
Auto11.1
Teleop89.2
End3.4
Third
6820
#20
95.38.2
77.785.9
Auto12.8
Teleop80.4
End3.1
blue by 1.0
6319
#46
96.28.3
76.384.6
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed