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Qual 712018 Monterrey Regional
Red258
6666101.4
6017100.2
4010127.3
Blue236
352791.6
4775141.4
4635134.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246275150200300350400450258236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#19
127.32.5
121.5→124.1
Auto15.3
Teleop98.8
End13.4
blue by 14.2
4775
#10
141.43.1
130.2→133.3
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
Second
6666
#35
101.41.2
104.1→102.9
Auto12.6
Teleop81.9
End3.8
blue by 33.2
4635
#15
134.71.6
129.3→130.8
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
Third
6017
#33
100.21.7
105.2→103.6
Auto11.8
Teleop77.8
End8.1
red by 8.6
3527
#42
91.62.8
97.5→94.6
Auto12.8
Teleop74.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed