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Red173
667686.3
534492.9
631996.2
Blue329
4635134.7
6218100.6
4584123.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1473430100200300400500600173329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6319
#46
96.21.1
97.596.3
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
blue by 38.5
4635
#15
134.71.3
130.8132.1
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
Second
5344
#48
92.90.6
91.391.8
Auto13.5
Teleop73.4
End5.7
blue by 31.0
4584
#12
123.80.5
121.6122.1
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
Third
6676
#47
86.30.3
85.085.4
Auto11.4
Teleop70.9
End4.2
blue by 14.3
6218
#41
100.60.1
100.5100.4
Auto13.8
Teleop80.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed