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Red400
4584123.8
5696112.0
4775141.4
Blue222
6106137.7
667686.3
5874101.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312060100300400500600400222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#10
141.42.6
135.5138.1
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
red by 3.7
137.72.2
134.4136.6
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
Second
4584
#12
123.80.7
122.1122.8
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
red by 22.5
5874
#36
101.30.9
100.4101.3
Auto11.1
Teleop89.2
End3.4
Third
5696
#13
112.01.5
109.2110.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.5
End7.8
red by 25.7
6676
#47
86.30.9
85.486.3
Auto11.4
Teleop70.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed