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Red150
5948141.5
6694117.3
6652106.3
Blue101
660583.0
615694.2
6348113.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3251740100400500600150101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.52.9
137.0139.9
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
red by 28.1
113.41.1
111.0112.1
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
Second
6694
#18
117.31.9
114.2116.0
Auto13.6
Teleop92.0
End15.2
red by 23.2
6156
#32
94.21.4
92.794.2
Auto9.1
Teleop77.5
End11.3
Third
6652
#25
106.30.4
106.7106.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
red by 23.2
6605
#44
83.00.9
82.183.0
Auto11.8
Teleop64.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed