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Red264
682095.3
4635134.7
6507110.9
Blue283
6483123.1
6647133.7
601099.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252258200220240280300320264283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#15
134.71.2
132.1133.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.8
End7.0
red by 1.0
6647
#21
133.71.5
130.3131.9
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
Second
6507
#26
110.90.5
111.4110.9
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End8.6
blue by 12.2
6483
#14
123.10.0
122.7122.7
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
Third
6820
#20
95.30.9
94.495.3
Auto12.8
Teleop80.4
End3.1
blue by 4.6
6010
#34
99.80.9
100.799.8
Auto11.6
Teleop81.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed