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Red451
3526152.6
3478195.7
5716126.7
Blue191
6348113.4
3522130.9
6694117.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4061880100300500600700451191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.71.0
192.9193.8
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
red by 64.9
130.90.0
130.8130.9
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
Second
152.60.5
151.0151.6
Auto18.7
Teleop115.4
End18.1
red by 35.3
6694
#18
117.30.3
117.1117.3
Auto13.6
Teleop92.0
End15.2
Third
5716
#22
126.70.5
125.3125.8
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
red by 13.3
113.40.3
113.2113.4
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5